Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.316609 1.581276 1.904171 2.333388 2.898710 3.632204 4.680573e+00
2024-12-29 0.971563 1.289326 1.734433 2.429297 3.539005 5.347283 8.779090e+00
2025-01-05 0.768840 1.090079 1.584655 2.452736 4.065655 7.264027 1.527047e+01
2025-01-12 0.626089 0.929175 1.428014 2.382842 4.380434 9.058520 2.431164e+01
2025-01-19 0.531967 0.818588 1.316411 2.340836 4.718816 11.228688 3.929101e+01
2025-01-26 0.488686 0.781070 1.318880 2.517526 5.655268 16.088776 8.337069e+01
2025-02-02 0.448162 0.739080 1.300544 2.641467 6.557152 22.332957 1.867489e+02
2025-02-09 0.403910 0.681672 1.237361 2.636849 7.097454 28.310380 3.967302e+02
2025-02-16 0.362234 0.622261 1.157145 2.561967 7.371832 33.809790 8.333907e+02
2025-02-23 0.336317 0.589672 1.127998 2.614176 8.170753 45.144896 3.050367e+03
2025-03-02 0.317518 0.568449 1.119746 2.723947 9.329610 64.590666 3.460867e+04
2025-03-09 0.296126 0.538737 1.085781 2.745460 10.145052 86.247418 3.851643e+07
2025-03-16 0.270423 0.497324 1.018039 2.643895 10.312747 102.672217 NaN
2025-03-23 0.257515 0.482114 1.012857 2.752529 11.806758 159.460601 NaN
2025-03-30 0.242417 0.460124 0.986405 2.779037 12.894446 231.271053 NaN
2025-04-06 0.224806 0.430451 0.934870 2.696519 13.189631 291.854224 NaN
2025-04-13 0.210340 0.406465 0.894974 2.647087 13.717750 390.197758 NaN
2025-04-20 0.205880 0.405161 0.917006 2.855028 16.728460 892.024173 NaN
2025-04-27 0.199501 0.398520 0.922859 3.001353 19.627680 2144.975723 NaN
2025-05-04 0.189404 0.381788 0.896558 2.995894 21.032281 4119.042674 NaN
2025-05-11 0.178088 0.361013 0.855252 2.907449 21.376039 6594.558245 NaN
2025-05-18 0.171412 0.351130 0.845552 2.969100 23.872826 23203.302216 NaN
2025-05-25 0.166701 0.345696 0.848753 3.098933 27.882813 366444.130221 NaN